WTI Oil Jumps off One MA, Now Faces another MA. Who’s Selling?

WTI (West Texas Intermediate) Oil bears put up a fight this week after a strong uptrend in the last month or so. They managed to form a pullback and retrace Oil prices a couple of Dollars lower.

But, the retrace stopped right at the 200 smooth moving average (MA) on the hourly chart. It’s not just the 200 moving average on the hourly forex chart which has stopped the sellers. The 100 SMA on the H4 chart and the 20 SMA on the daily Oil chart come at the same level. They helped provide support and stop the decline.  

The 50 SMA doesn't look too far.

Now Oil is up nearly $2 from the lows and is headed towards another interesting technical indicator. As you can see from the H4 Oil chart above, the 50 SMA (yellow) is standing above and today the price is headed to this moving average.

At the moment, the 50 SMA is around 40 ticks above the current price and the stochastic indicator is reaching the oversold area. By the time we reach the 50 SMA, the stochastic indicator will be oversold.

Trade Idea: This would be a great bearish chart setup, since this moving average has provided support previously and now it should turn into resistance. I’m thinking of opening a sell forex signal up there around the $56.40-50 level, anyone coming?       

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More

Skerdian Meta

Lead Analyst

Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

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